![]() ![]() ![]() The agreements split the defeated nation into four “allied occupation zones”: They gave the eastern part of the country to the Soviet Union and the Western part to the U.S. The rest of us should be wary of letting them be the ones to decide.The Berlin Airlift: The Partitioning of BerlinĪs World War II came to an end in 1945, the Allied powers held peace conferences at Yalta and Potsdam to determine how they would divide up Germany’s territories. Talking about AI as an arms race strengthens the narrative that they need to pursue their interests. But researchers and investors chasing fame and fortune might care much more. For most of us, it may not matter much if Meta beats Microsoft. ![]() With AI, the payoffs for a given player can be different from the payoffs for society as a whole. And in the real world, we can coordinate our way out of such traps: we can talk to each other we can make commitments and observe their adherence we can lobby governments to regulate and make agreements. In particular, if individual, uncoordinated incentives lead to the sort of perverse situation described by an “arms race,” the winning move, where possible, is to leave the game. The real game is more complex than simple models can suggest. Read More: How the World Must Respond to the AI Revolution Other game-changing factors in AI include: how much safety is bought by going slower how much one party’s safety investments reduce the risk for everyone whether coming second means a small loss or major disaster how much the danger rises if additional parties pick up their speed and how others respond. But with AI, the winner may be advanced AI itself. Notably, in the classic arms race, a party could always theoretically get ahead and win. But the AI situation is different in crucial ways. ![]()
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